Two for today, possible evening bets to follow before 4.00pm.
2.30 Southwell Corn Maiden 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 13/2 (Bet Victor, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Betfair Sportsbook, guaranteed)
Corn Maiden has posted three good efforts from three visits here, winning once and excused her latest course run on account of her getting worked up and loose before the start. She has been progressive in 2013 and although her speed figures aren't up there with the best of these, she is guaranteed to stay unlike many, knows how to win, and seems to be on an upward curve, so I would suggest the good course figures may come in due course. Yasir looks a bit of a monkey at times, Queen Of Skies might improve for the surface but her dam's side gives some cause for concern on that score and I don't quite like the look of her physically with this track in mind, and Maakir looks a doubtful stayer. I think the selection represents really good value at the prices and Paddy Aspell has been noted riding this track well. Stall eleven presents no problem at all over this distance.
3.15 Cheltenham Abruzzi 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
I have it in mind to take on the top four in the market here, as I'm not sure how strong their early season form is and I think Southfield Theatre might be better on a flat track. Abruzzi comes into this contest completely unexposed, and he should be ready to peak on what will be his third run of the season. His trainer is in fine form, and this looks a good piece of placement with the selection carrying just 9-9 up the hill with Ben Poste claiming 5lb off the bottom weight. The selection has run two nice races so far this season, and although this looks stronger the selection looks an out and out stayer and I expect the hill to be in his favour. A look through his form brings up a Towcester Novice Hurdle victory from this time last year, where he beat the useful Up To Something 2 3/4 lengths, with Angles Hill a further eight lengths back in third. He was off level weights with Angles Hill that day, although he carried 6lb less on the day due to the riders' claim. It is interesting, then, that Angles Hill has to give the selection 5lb today (both riders claim 5lb) and it gives us an indication that Abruzzi might be the better bet. He does look very unexposed, and if he takes to the stiff track as expected, I would fancy him to go close to winning. We'll cover most of our stake in case of a place by staking as above.
Profit & loss: day: -11.00 / month: +62.25 / year: +430.70
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