1.30 Ffos Las
Off The Wall 4pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Gospel Preacher 3pts win @ 8/1 (Generally guaranteed)
An interesting Novice Handicap Chase, with the favourite Royal Riviera looking an honest enough if limited type who is probably there to be shot at by anything that shows improvement. David Pipe's Off The Wall is by Presenting, and was always likely to be a chaser in the making. This is his debut over the larger obstacles, but he has some reasonable hurdles for that puts him in with a shout here, including on soft ground. Blinkers are applied, which is a slight concern, but connections did suggest they may have been riding him wrong last year sending him on from the front, and I think they might try and hold him up here and use the blinkers to help him focus on his jumping. 5/1 looks too big in this company.
The biggest danger is probably Gospel Preacher. He has been quietly supported this morning, and if he comes on for his Plumpton run it is easy to see why. He jumped well in the main and travelled sweetly until the last circuit going downhill at Plumpton, when he began to fade quickly. The concern is that he has done that before, but he is entitled to have needed that run and he is a huge horse, with plenty of scope for fences. This flat track will suit him really well and I expect more money to come for him before the off. We can take a nice profit if either selection wins by staking as above.
Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: +44.25 / year: +412.70
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