3.05 Haydock No Duffer 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 12/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)
This doesn't look like a nrace full of unexposed sorts, and a chance is taken on the horse in the field who is probably more unexposed than any of his rivals. No Duffer was down to run on Boxing Day, but that meeting was abandoned and he has been rerouted to Haydock. Henry Daly's yard are in good form and it is no secret that he lines his horses up to win on Boxing Day, so it is likely the selection has been prepared to win on this run. He has shown only moderate form over hurdles, but was described by his trainer as an out and out chaser and he is likely to improve over the bigger obstacles. He looked inexperienced at Warwick where it all happened a bit quickly for him, but the trainer's other Novice Chaser to have been out this season improved markedly for his first start over fences and I would expect this more galloping track to suit No Duffer better than Warwick's tight turns. Double figures is too big in this field and we'll have a total of five points on.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -37.25 / year: +331.20
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