12.55 Southwell High Ron 5pts win @ 9/1 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
Southwell will take a hell of a lot of getting today, and I have little doubt in my mind that High Ron will act on the heavy ground. He is by a sire, Rainbow High, that has produced almost exclusively soft / heavy ground specialists from limited opportunities, and his knee action suggests that he will be another progeny to follow suit. He has some chase form from Towcester last year, and although he has disappointed since, the stable have largely been out of sorts. a recent winner and one or two running well suggests they are now firing again, and in a poor contest the selection looks too big to ignore at the prices.
1.55 Southwell Silent Knight 1pt each-way @ 8/1 / 7/1 (Generally guaranteed) AND 3pts win @ Betfair SP
Represents another yard who have been quiet, but were much better in November and December. I don't think No No Mac sets an exacting standard here and the point winner Silent Knight is suggested against him. His sire Pierre also produces plenty of soft ground progeny, and the selection is an Irish point winner on soft ground. He is bred for this trip over hurdles, and having cost a £20,000 connections must feel he has plenty of ability. I think he is overpriced here in relation to the market leaders, and we'll play to get around 55% of our stake back should he run a place. A potentially decent Betfair SP could produce a nice win dividend.
Profit & loss: day: +40.00 / month: +57.50 / year: +57.50
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