1.30 Kempton Pilgreen 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 11/1 (Ladbrokes,William Hill, guaranteed, 10/1 generally guaranteed)
Baltimore Rock might be too well handicapped for his rivals here, but he didn't look totally convincing at Wincanton last time out, making fairly heavy weather of things and displaying just slight hints of attitude. He may not be an entirely straightforward and therefore doesn't appeal at odds on under an apprentice pilot. Santo Thomas has already had better chances than this, while Loyaute doesn't strike me as a regular winner and her stable have been quiet. Robert Walford's stable, however, have been in good order and it is interesting they've booked Harry Derham to ride the long absent Pilgreen. He has decent looking form in the book and although he has been absent over 1,000 days, his trainer has managed to get his horses fit enough to win or run their race first time up this jumps season, and the chance is taken that he is ready to go today. He will love the ground, having won on soft and displaying an exaggerated action in the process, and at a double figure price he looks the value in this contest.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +22.40 / year: +9.20
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