Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Saturday 1st February 2014

Just one selection today on a very difficult day to find value.

2.45 Wetherby Kilbree Chief 5pts win @ 5/1 (Generally guaranteed)

This doesn't look a very high quality race, and with a piece of winning form to his name on soft ground at Hexmah, a chance is taken on Kilbree chief's ability to handle the ground here at a decent price. His form last autumn behind Three Kingdoms has been franked in no uncertain terms by the winner, and his Hexham win marked him down as a Novice Hurdler on the up. He was probably overfaced next time out, but ran well and displayed his usual good jumping ability throughout the contest. He has been given a short break, but his trainer suggested in a recent stable tour that he remains well handicapped and stays no problem. This looks a good piece of placement, and it is worth noting that Russell has sent more horses to Wetherby this season than before, with a 4/28 strike rate which improves her previous rate. She has a decent standard of horse in her yard and although the selection will be a chaser in time, he looks well up to this class and may have been let in lightly off OR120.


Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -5.00 / year: -13.50

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