5.40 Kempton Al Raqeeb 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Generally guaranteed)
The thing that strikes me about Kempton's evening card first is the fact that Gary Harrison sends a three strong team to the track, having had his first runner of the year at Kempton yesterday. that horse ran well enough over a trip too short, for an inexperienced claimer who rides Not Rigg for the stable this evening. However, Harrison has taken the trouble to book Tom Queally for his other two representatives and we'll be supporting both, as both look overpriced.
Al Raqeeb was promising for Marco Botti, and has run a couple of good races in defeat since transferring to his current trainer. The form of his Lingfield third in November looks strong in the contest of this race, and he has been dropped to a mark of OR71 since having failed to progress from that contest. A first time tongue tie is applied today, and I find that interesting because the horse has failed to really see out any of his recent races strongly. I'd suggest it is likely the horse has had work done on his breathing during his near two month absence, and the booking of Queally would suggest he isn't out for a gallop. There isn't much pace in this race, and with Al Raqeeb having front run in the past, I would suggest he might take a prominent sit here and try to quicken from the front. He is drawn well to do so in stall four, and although he faces a few horses at the top of their game, there are reasons to believe an improved performance can be expected this evening and he looks overpriced at his current odds.
7.10 Kempton Hazzaat 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 18/1 (Bet Victor, Coral, guaranteed, 16/1 generally guaranteed)
Also from stall four, representing Harrison and Queally. Hazzaat has one piece of form on his penultimate run which gives him the winning of this contest. He ran Lacey to a short head on his penultimate run at Lingfield, his first really solid piece of form for the stable, and that was franked by the winner who has progressed since (won two runs later). He did well to get so close that day, having been keen enough under his apprentice jockey and running into trouble around the home turn, having to be switched wide to make his challenge. That race came after a break, and given that he is a buzzy sort of horse, he might well be best fresh. He comes into this contest off the back of a two month break and looks very well handicapped based on the Lingfield run. This looks to be a fairly run of the mill 0-60, and the fact that bookmakers go 6/1 the field tells its own story. If the selection gets a good pace to run at, and if Queally can get him settled early on, I'd expect him to go close, and he is too big at 16/1+.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -4.10 / year: -17.30
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