4.00 Southwell Schottische 2pts each-way @ 14/1 (Generally guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP - E/W 2nd @ 20/1
Plenty of course regulars in here, but nothing sticks out as particularly well handicapped and it looks to me like a race that could throw up a surprise. Schottische is the one I find interesting, for a yard whose horses go really well at this track. The selection has won twice on polytrack, and a look at her fibresand form at first glance would suggest we shouldn't expect too much this afternoon. However, she travelled really well on her second start here in a decent class 5 contest. She faded quickly that day, but the structure of her performance was not typical of a horse not acting on the surface. She travelled too well in the early stages to suggest so, and I think she may have had a minor physical issue (perhaps in season?) or maybe she was taking the mick out of her jockey a little bit. Her last run a few days ago came at Lingfield, and she didn't seem to act well around the bend. She did, however, run on strongly late and I wondered again was she giving less than she could for her apprentice pilot. It is interesting then, than Rosie Jessop makes way for the excellent Joe Fanning today. Jessop is an excellent pilot, but Fanning will make this filly's mind up for her in no uncertain terms if she decides to mess about. If she responds to his urgings and puts it all in, I think she is very well handicapped off OR56 based on her last polytrack win. I think she does act well on the surface, and at 14/1+ with the dead eight running, she makes good each-way appeal.
Profit & loss: day: +5.00 / month: +2.50 / year: -+2.50
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