The news that Sprinter Sacre misses the Champion Chase dominated headlines over the weekend, and has blown that race wide open in terms of betting. It also affects the Ryanair chase, which is obviously less prestigious and will no doubt lose a few participants with the likes of Benefficient likely to drop back in trip to contest the more noteworthy race. Just over two weeks to the festival now and we're all looking forward to it here.
Monday's Wolverhampton card looks tricky enough, and we'll have just one bet up at Musselburgh.
Michael Smith is a trainer I really respect, and despite a recent quiet spell without any runners he has had a fine season so far, with the likes of Imperial Vic, Masterleaderman and Native Spa helping the stable's profile no end. Dante's Frolic is a six year old mare who handles soft ground well, and it is interesting she is the only one of four Smith representatives who hasn't been pulled out following heavy overnight rain at Musselburgh. She won her bumper at Ayr impressively in February 2012, adding a hurdle success at Catterick in February 2013. Her seasonal debut at Kelso in December was full of promise, she travelled well into the contest and only gave best on the stamina sapping run to the line, arguably better than the bare result. That race has worked out well, and she is of interest off 1lb lower in a weaker contest this afternoon. I don't really fancy any of the outsiders and Bellgrove looks a good ground horse to me. This might end up a match with the McCain runner Cool Sky, and given that I make them hard to split, I think the 3/1+ on the selection represents really good value. I would suggest she is the more proven of the pair on soft ground. The icing on the cake is the fact that she seems to routinely come to hand at this time of year, always something worth looking out for with fillies and mares, and Dante's Frolic gets the nod as a result.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -18.10 / year: -32.30
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