8.00 Wolverhampton Tom Mann 5pts win @ 9/2 (Totesport, Betfred, guaranteed, 9/2 fixed price with various independents, 4/1 Skybet, guaranteed)
This is as bad a maiden as I have seen, and an ideal place to start of a decent three year old. The unraced Tom Mann is too tempting not to back here, because there is very little in the way of opposition from anything at prices. This should be won by something in the top four of the market, but I think Mick Channon's Gratzie might have been flattered by her debut run and she more or less went backwards after that. Unless there was a problem, she is worth opposing at the prices and she didn't look too keen to actually pass horses anyway. Jolly Red Jeanz doesn't look up to winning a maiden in my view, and the step up two furlongs in trip looks a hopeful punt. That leaves the first time out Guest filly, but Guest had a couple of good fillies win recently and sent out a more average one at Kempton last night. I think tonight's entry might be in the latter category and she hasn't been well backed. David Barron has a fine 19% strike rate with three year olds here, and I'm interested enough in this one to back it first time out.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +8.90 / year: -4.30
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