I hinted earlier that this evening could be busy, and indeed it is. We have three selections.
5.50 Kempton Crystalized 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 12/1 (Skybet, Coral, William Hill, Independents, guaranteed)
Crystalized took some support this morning from around 20/1 in places to her current price. That doesn't take much at all in a race like this, and I think there's a fair chance she will drift out a little come the off given the shape of this market. The selection represents the Dean Ivory stable, who are a force to be reckoned with at this track in particular, and Dean has made a name for himself in recent years with improving sprinters. Crystalized is an inexperienced filly so this is a risky enough bet, but she travelled really well on her first polytrack start at Lingfield last month, eventually blowing the turn and failing to get involved at the business end of the race. She looks better than an OR55 horse, though, and this looks a fairly average event for her to take her chance in. I don't think the favourite Global Explorer is one of Stuart Williams' best sprinters, and he looks well worth taking on at the prices. Crystalized will need to have come on for that Lingfield run, but she is very much entitled too and she is well drawn in stall six to get early cover and make a challenge in the longer Kempton straight.
6.50 Kempton Watt Broderick 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
The notable aspect of Watt Broderick's recent "Bumpers For Jumpers" runner up spot was the fact that he settled so well off such a crawl of a pace. This is something the five year old son of Hawk Wing has failed to do in the past to his cost. He returns to Kempton under the flat code today and if anything, the stronger racing pace over twelve furlongs will play right into his hands. He pulled clear in that bumper with a horse of Brian Ellisons who is rated in the high seventies on the flat, and I think he looks really well handicapped here off OR63 given he is likely to settle tonight. The booking of Graham Lee is a positive and at 7/2, he is probably three quarters of a point too big in my book.
7.20 Kempton Bobby Benton 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 6/1 (Bet 365, Bet Victor, Coral, William Hill, guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
Arabella won us some place money last time out when she finished second at 20/1, and Hurricane Harry looked less than straightforward when we supported him last time out at Lingfield, so I'd like to think I have a good handle on this maiden event. The favourite looks the most likely winner, but he didn't look entirely straightforward at Lingfield (hung in the closing stages, although he was entitled to be green on his debut). At the prices I'd like to take him on each-way with Bobby Benton, who created a really good impression in Hurricane Harry's Lingfield race. He was caught wide for most of the contest, but stayed on really well to finish a close second, doing all his best work at the finish. I think Kempton's long straight will suit him well and the booking of Luke Morris catches my eye. The selection is a brother to Grendisar, and will want further in time, but if he can get to the front he might be hard to pass in the closing stages unless Born In Bombay has really come on for his debut. One is 11/2, the other is Evens, I have the race between them and it looks a no brainer to support Bobby Benton each-way.
Profit & loss: day: +12.90 / month: -7.00 / year: -21.20
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