We got place money on Argocat and Turn Over Sivola yesterday which wasn't too bad. A winner would have been welcome but hopefully we can rectify that today.
2:00 International Festival For Business 2014 Top Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y
King Of The Picts 1pt each-way @ 33/1 (Generally guaranteed - use a bookmaker offering 1/4 odds for the place) - E/W 3rd
This really isn't a great renewal (a common theme in today's graded races) and a chance is taken on the Irish raider King Of The Picts improving for better ground. The selection has displayed a good turn of foot on a couple of occasions but perhaps hasn't been seen to best effect on deep winter ground behind The Tullow Tank and third behind Vautour on his two most recent starts. He probably isn't as good as those two horses, but neither is anything else in this field and as a horse who might improve for these conditions and a more patient ride, he looks overpriced and is worth a small each-way interest.
2:30 Betfred Mobile Mildmay Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f
Holywell 4pts win @ 7/2 / 10/3 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
1pt each-way double Holywell / Rajdhani Express 10/3 and 9/2 generally - get guaranteed odds
O'Foalain's Boy had a hard race at Cheltenham and I can't get it out of my mind how fresh Holywell looked when storming away up the hill to land the big handicap on day one of the festival. I think he will prove to be better than handicap class over fences and he hasn't had many hard races this season. He is the type of horse who just does enough and the booking of tony McCoy is a massive positive - he was riding at the peak of his powers here yesterday and is worth a couple of pound at least when is is at that level. We'll include the selection in an each-way double too.
3:05 Betfred Melling Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f
Rajdhani Express 4pts win @ 9/2 (Generally)
Rajdhani Express was a selection for us in the Ryanair Chase and he travelled best of all bar maybe the winner. He jumped well and was probably unlucky not to get second in the end. I thought Sam Waley-Cohen had him a little too close to the pace too soon and with a more confident ride he should go close to making amends this afternoon. He is by Presenting and will be suited, as he always is, by good spring ground. There is some pace in this contest which will help him settle, and it bodes well that he won at Aintree last year.
3:40 Crabbie´s Supporting Everton In The Community Topham Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f110y
Use a bookmaker paying 5 places on each-way bets
Ma Filleule 1pt each-way @ 14/1 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
Lost Legend 1pt each-way @ 16/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Doeslessthanme 1pt each-way @ 33/1 / 28/1 (Generally guaranteed)
We didn't have much look with our selections over the National fences yesterday, with one withdrawn and two early fallers. This race has a very different make up to it, though, with professional jockeys and a different standard of horse, and I just wonder if the victory of Triolo D'Alene last season confirms that the new fences are easier to negotiate, therefore opening this up to being won by the best horse rather than the horse who takes to the unique test best? With that in mind, Ma Filleule looks well handicapped based on her second at Cheltenham, and she won't lack for assistance from the saddle with Barry Geraghty in the plate. Lost Legend returned to form with a win last time out and if he can continue that progression in cheekpieces he will be a threat to all. He is by Winged Love, and can be expected to thrive on this summer ground. His jockey rides these fences well and 16/1 is too big. Doeslessthanme's victory at Doncaster has been franked by the second who finished second here yesterday. He seems to be in the form of his life for his new handler and his run style suggests this test will suit him. He isn't a guaranteed stayer, but has won at 2m4f in the past, albeit in a less truly run race. He is worth an additional interest at the prices. One place returns at least 70% of our stake, and with five places paid, selecting three horses to small each-way stakes looks the smart way to get involved here.
4:15 Doom Bar Sefton Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y
The Last Samuri 1pt each-way @ 33/1 (Bet Victor, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 25/1 generally guaranteed)
Quite a few of these have ground / stamina issues, but that can't be said for the dogged The Last Samuri, who is locally trained and sees out this kind of trip strongly. I was surprised he was being offered at 25/1+, because those at the head of the market have question marks about them in one way or another, and I expected the market to be more compressed. Unfortunately Jason Maguire is injured and can't take the ride, but I think that is factored into the price and his replacement Henry Brooke rides plenty of winners for the stable.
4:50 Alder Hey Children´s Charity Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f
Non account Bet: Caid Du Berlais each-way @ 8/1 (Generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
This is a minefield, Caid Du Berlais looks good for a place at least if getting normal luck in running and he is a token selection for those who want to have an
interest.
5:25 Concerto Group Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m1f
Non Account Bet: Tara Mist each-way @ 7/1 (Generally guaranteed) - E/W 3rd
I think Tara Mist has the best form on offer here and a jockey who rides these races really well. I think she'll be in the three with normal luck in running. It isn't a betting race for me though, and she rates only a token choice.
Profit & loss: day: +28.75 / month: +25,45 / year: -25.90
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