1pt each-way double on today's selections, 9/2 and 6/1 generally guaranteed
4.15 Beverley Ujagar 4pts win @ 9/2 (Generally guaranteed)
Ujagar is a son of Dalakhani who stayed this trip really well at Southwell last time out when winning a fair looking three runner contest. He put distance between himself and the runner up at the one furlong pole and was soon clear, eased down in the last hundred yards. I think that performance may have been underestimated and I think he can carry a penalty today. He is a big horse with plenty of scope and his jockey rides these turning tracks well. 9/2 is fair and we'll include him in an each-way double.
5.25 Beverley Ambella 4pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Ambella was selected by us on her second start, after a promising debut at Kempton. She had three quick runs at that track in February and was never really given a hard time in terms of being asked to win her race or being punished into a place. Connections can reap the reward for that patience today and she starts of on turf from a mark of OR70 which I feel she might be better than. She has been entered in a winnable fillies handicap, and although I'm not a fan of the jockey I feel his presence in the saddle is factored into the price and he at least knows the filly well having won on her on all starts. She is related to Smarty Socks and I think she could end up better on this surface. She shapes as though she will stay well and this extended mile with a stiff finish ought to suit.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +50.50 / year: -0.85
No comments:
Post a Comment