3.05 Southwell Ladweb 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 20/1 (Bet 365, Coral, William Hill, guaranteed, 18/1 Bet Victor guaranteed)
Keep It Dark travels strongly, but doesn't seem to find a lot off the bridle and although he ran well behind Alpha Tauri the other day, he was never going to win and I think he is worth taking on at 5/2. There are a few of these who won't handle the surface, and of those that do nothing sticks out as obviously well handicapped . Sir Geoffrey is the obvious one as a result but he is rising in the handicap and has a tendency to spit the dummy if he doesn't get an easy trip into a contest, which he may not get here from stall 9. A chance is taken on Ladweb taking to the fibresand as a result. He definitely is well handicapped on his best form and has the assistance of an in form 3lb claimer to boot. He is drawn well in stall 6 and I think he is the type of horse who might enjoy this test. He has loads of early speed, and tends to grind it out and keep going at one pace rather than actually quickening, in the style of many horses who enjoy Southwell's fibresand (and in particular this five furlong course). I have a theory that it is not as important to have fibresand experience or breeding on the straight course here, early speed and the ability to maintain that speed seems to be more important. Ladweb ran quite well at Kempton recently on his seasonal debut, and if he comes on for that run, he is entitled to go close here at a big price.
Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: -4.00 / year: -55.35
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