Friday 16th May 2014

Two races of interest for Friday.

1.45 York

Don't Tell Annie 3pts win @ 7/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Exentricity 3pts win @ 12/1 / 11/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Don't Tell Annie looked very professional on her debut and seems to boast plenty of tactical speed to boot. That will be needed here in what looks a fair renewal of this fillies contest, but she has plenty of physical scope too and should make up into an OR90+ type  at least in my opinion. She was well backed on debut by connections, who seemed to know they had a good horse on their hands, and I think she is overpriced in relation to the market leaders here. I think she'll enjoy York's test.

Exentricity represents a stable whose juveniles are in good form and she made a very promising debut at Salisbury. She didn't seem to enjoy the soft ground and looked laboured on it, but stayed on really well behind the experienced Tiggy Wiggy and I wouldn't be surprised to see her reverse form with that rival today. The prices speak for themselves, with Tiggy Wiggy trading as favourite, and Exentricity a big looking 11/1+.

3.50 York

Flying Bear 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 / 16/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Grecian 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Flying Bear caught the eye on totally unsuitable ground at Sandown last time out, and having travelled well he was allowed to coast home from what was also an unfavourable draw. A big field holds no fears for him: he won a cavalry charge of a nursery at Glorious Goodwood last year. He also seems to have grown plenty since his juvenile season and might be a sprinter to follow in 2014. On the evidence of recent days he might be well drawn too, and 16/1+ is too big.

Grecian is better than an OR83 handicapper in my view, it's just a matter of whether he can put it all together. He was a useful two year old, but was a late May foal and only saw the track three times last year. He has loads of natural speed, but looked immature and he strikes me as the type that could have come on a bundle for a winter on his back. Winning this first time out is a big task, but Paul Cole reports him to have been doing plenty of work and says he is fit. The booking of Oisin Murphy (claiming 3lb) is eye catching and 16/1+ looks good value. We'll back both selections each-way and win.

Profit & loss: day: -12.00 / month: +122.85 / year: +210.15