One bet for this afternoon. We may or may not have an evening selection, details either way before 5.00pm.
Despite being by Invincible Spirit, whose progeny go well on artificial surfaces, Vincentti has never really looked at home on polytrack to my eyes. He doesn't have the athletic action of a polytrack quickener, and as a result I think he has done quite well to finish second and third on his two recent starts on the surface, given the fair level of competition he faced. I've been waiting for him to revert to turf, and today he gets the opportunity. In addition, the ground at Bath is good to soft, which he is proven on, and I think the trip and stiff finish will play to his strengths. There is a question mark about his ability to act at Bath's unique track, but his trainer Ron Harris does get winners here and at Brighton, suggesting his horses might have experience of undulating ground from their gallops. With a fitness advantage over his rivals today, as well as a fair looking handicap mark, he is worth taking a chance on with Adam Kirby a notable booking. 5/1+ is too big.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +157.50 / year: +97.25
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