5.10 Ripon Adam's Ale 7pts win @ 9/2 (Generally guaranteed)
This doesn't look as competitive a 0-75 handicap as the market suggests in my view. Many of these don't really act at Ripon, which is something of a specialist track, with Adam's Ale a notable exception. He was only just beaten by Cheviot over course and distance last summer, and although Rylee Mooch is well handicapped with the selection based on that form, Adam's Ale is in better current form which matters a lot with sprinters in my view. He also seems more open to progression as a lightly raced five year old. He is with an in form stable, who have taken the trouble to book a good jockey in Paul Mulrennan. I'm taking a view that the race won by Angus Og at this track last time was strong, and with that in mind I think Adam's Ale's third in that contest is much the best form on offer here. I think he could be backed on course, and an S.P. of 10/3 would seem more likely than 9/2 to me, although I'll be happy enough if he drifts and wins! I'm going to have a decent wedge on him and 7pts win is the suggested stake.
Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: +102.85 / year: +190.15
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