Sunday 4th May 2014

Fort Bastion was an impressive winner yesterday in my view, and better than the final winning margin implies. One race of interest for today.

3.10 Newmarket 

Kimberella 1pt each-way @ 12/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Yeeoow 1pt each-way @ 14/1 (Generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd

Alben Star 1pt each-way @ 16/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 14/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 4th

I'm not really a Secondo fan from a handicapping point of view, and I think Zanetto and Ninjago are incorrectly positioned in the market at second and third favourite here. This race could throw up a shock, as a result, but I do think it's the type of contest that might just be won by a race fit, good horse. I've taken three against the field. Kimberella was impressive to my eye at Ripon last time out, winning well in the end and looking every inch a progressive speedster. Yeeoow probably didn't have the run of the race at Pontefract, and might be seen to better effect ridden more prominently today. Alben Star has to prove his progress is not polytrack exclusive, and his handicap mark does look high, but he is in the form of his life and I do like backing horses with that profile in this type of race. Should one of the three place, we'll get most of our stake back, and a win would be a nice bonus to top off a profitable week.

Profit & loss: day: +3.00 / month: +162.60 / year: +249.85