1.45 York
Bogart 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 11/1 (Generally guaranteed - Bet 365 and Paddy Power pay 5 places)
Normal Equilibrium 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 10/1 (Generally guaranteed - Bet 365 and Paddy Power pay 5 places)
Bogart sticks out here although high enough in the handicap, as a horse who usually goes very well at this track and doesn't necessarily need to have a run behind him to show his best. The selection looks well drawn if yesterday's slight bias towards the near rail in the sprints is carried over to today. He looks the class act in the field to me and should get a tow into the race from Judge 'N' Jury.
Normal Equilibrium is added from a more central draw. Robert Cowell is the indisputable sprint king form me right now and the selection looked a different horse when winning at Lingfield last time out, that run being a lifetime best. He hit the line very strongly indeed and if he can repeat the same level of performance this afternoon, he should go very close. An in form, talented 5lb claimer is booked for the ride.
2.15 York Mango Diva 5pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed - or take 11/2 Paddy Power who will refund if 2nd or 3rd.)
There isn't much between these fillies but I'm drawn to Mango Diva from Sir Michael Stoute's stable. She is lightly raced and looks progressive, not having been raised in class too quickly, much in the style Stoute tends to bring some horses on slowly. She has been off since winning the Denny Cordell at Gowran last September, and has been trained in a similar manner to Stoute's other winner of that race Ave, who ended up a Grade 1 winner in the States having improved again as a four year old. Unlike some of these, she appears to be a ten furlong specialist and that will stand her in good stead against some horses who aren't guaranteed to flourish at this distance for all they may handle it. I thought the right price was around 9/2 and anything 11/2 or better looks very decent value.
Profit & loss: day: -11.00 / month: +134.85 / year: +222.15
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