1.45 Epsom
Taajub 2pts win @ 14/1 (Skybet, Totesport, Betfred, Coral, guaranteed)
Imperial Legend 2pts win @ 12/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Fair Value 2pts win @ 7/1 (Generally guaranteed)
A really interesting sprint, and I like the way it is priced up. The favourite Pearl Blue isn't proven at running top speed down a hill, nor is Elusivity or Peace Seeker, who occupy the next two places in the market. I'm looking for something here that might go on the ground, and will handle the downhill five furlongs. All three selections fit the bill. Taajub is a big price because of his draw (widest), but I don't think the matters as much now with five non runners and he is too big at the current odds. He goes well here and his trainer targets sprints at this track (is also responsible for Elusivity). He has been in decent heart lately and fitness will be no problem - he has had a similar prep for this in terms of a few weeks break as he did for last year's Epsom dash, where he performed creditably. Imperial Legend has a fitness question mark to overcome but I can't resist backing him, expecially with Paul Hanagan an interesting booking. He might well need the run but he was most progressive last season and his win at Hamilton suggests he will be very well suited by the demands of this course. Fair Value is a regular at this track, and usually runs her race. Fitness is no issue and she ran well last time on the all weather, going off too quickly and eventually reeled in in the home straight. The return to a sharp five furlongs is ideal and she is too big at 7/1. We'll back all three win only.
2.20 Epsom Red Runaway 7pts win @ 5/2 (Generally guaranteed)
I was deeply impressed with Red Runaway's recent win at Lingfield, and I think he is very well handicapped off his current mark of OR81. It would be unusual for me to recommend a favourite in a handicap like this, but the selection has a lot in his favour and I think he could be contesting much better races before the year is out. The recent reappearance suggested he had made progress from three to four, and he put distance between himself and his rivals and had his race won some way out. The big question mark here is the good to soft ground. It should have dried out plenty since, though, and as far as I know the course has not been watered. I think we might at a bigger price here as a result, and if we can get 11/4 or 3/1 I think that would represent great value. I'm happy to have a decent stake.
Profit & loss: day: -13.00 / month: +179.50 / year: +119.25
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