Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Friday 13th June 2014

Audacious was the subject of a big gamble yesterday, from 50/1 into a 10/1 SP. He missed the break, and was never really in it.

Two for today.

3.40 York Alejandro 5pts win @ 9/1 / 8/1 (Generally guaranteed) - WON

David O'Meara is the undisputed king of York these days to my mind, and he can get a fourth 2014 winner at the track with Alejandro this afternoon. The selection was formerly with Richard Fahey, with whom he was beginning to look exposed. However, I think O'Meara may be able to eke some improvement out of him if his last run at Catterick is anything to go by. He ran really well behind Conry in a race run on ground I don't think suited, and he looks well handicapped on that basis. He is 1lb lower than his last winning mark (unchanged from Catterick) and if he can do better again on faster ground at a track I think will suit, then the 8/1+ might look big. Silverstre De Sousa takes the ride, he has a very good record for this trainer both before and since he got the Godolphin job.

5.15 York Sioux Chieftain 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Sioux Rising is a Mick Appleby acquisition who was with Tim Pitt before his debut for his current trainer in October. He ran really well on that debut, in a race that has worked out nicely, and he can be forgiven his recent reappearance in my view. He went off far too fast in the conditions, and I think the run is best just forgotten. There should be improvement to come off OR79 based on the Catterick run, and the selection ran well at York on his only visit here so far. This trainer is a master at improving horses he buys from other stables, and I think Sioux Rising could be the latest in a long line. Ali Rawlinson's 5lb claim is useful in easing the 9-12 burden right down to 9-7, and I think 14/1 is too big. We'll play each-way and win.

Profit & loss: day: +40.00 / month: -11.90 / year: +312.00

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