4.00 Epsom Amazing Maria 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 (Generally - Bet 365, Skybet, Paddy Power, many independets pay 1/4 first 4)
Times and visual evidence from the first two races suggest the ground at Epsom is fast, and that will be against the likes of March Daisy and Madame Chiang. Some of the fillies' classic division form looks suspect to me, and I can't have the likes of Ihtimal (looks a non-stayer) or Marvellous (had a hard race last time out). Tarfasha and Taghrooda are the pair who have been trained specifically for this race, and they look the solid options although they don't appeal to me as betting options. I'm inclined to back Amazing Maria with Frankie Dettori on board. The selection is a fine looking, imposing filly who was a very classy two year old. She was scratched from the Guineas but I have no problem with her coming here fresh, particularly with this trainer, who can get a horse ready no problem. She has a giant stride and looked as though she'd make a much better three year old. A good draw in stall twelve and a running style that promises to suit the track are additional factors in her favour. She isn't guaranteed to stay, but her sire Mastercraftsman is making a big impression with horses who stay further than he did, and the chance is worth taking in my view. Fast ground will be no problem to her and she is too big at the current prices.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -30.40 / year: +293.50
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