4.30 Newcastle Gabrial The Thug 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 8/1 (Generally guaranteed - Paddy Power pay 4 places on this race) - WON 25c R4
Gabrial The Thug is now 0-21 for his career, but he is with a top handler and it is interesting connections persevere with him. I have watched him a few times, and have long thought a strong pace in a big field coupled with a stiff finish are what he needs to finally get his head in front. He gets this scenario for the first time this afternoon. The selection looks well handicapped off OR53 based on his 2013 form, and he appeared to be nearing his best when running on into third at Bath last time out behind Elizabeth Coffee. I don't think Bath suited him very well, and with a decent pace to run at on this flat, stiff track, I think he can reverse form. David Nolan has impressed me this season and takes the ride. Richard Fahey boasts a 13% strike rate here from a large number of runners, and his representatives can usually be trusted to run to their best form at Newcastle.
Profit & loss: day: +27.00 / month: -11.40 / year: +312.50
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