Monday, July 14, 2014

Monday 14th July 2014

Just one selection for Monday.


3.00 Ayr Dark Crystal 6pts win @ 5/2 (Generally guaranteed) - WON @ 11/4

Backing a three year old filly against her elders is not something I'd often do at a shortish price, but Dark Crystal's penultimate run over course and distance saw her record an impressive victory. She is unpenalised for that apprentice race success and I think she can show herself to be an improving filly by winning again this afternoon. Her run at Hamilton over a trip too sharp for her was just fine, but the return to this track is the key. She was very strong at the finish on her last visit here, and crucially she handles soft ground well - she won at Redcar as a two year old over this trip on soft ground. Most of her rivals here are exposed, and with Joe Fanning in the plate I think she represents really good value now the rain has come. She may even drift on course, so be sure to take a guaranteed price as usual.


Profit & loss: day: +16.50 / month: +12.30 / year: +309.60

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