Just one for today.
3.20 Ayr Bunce 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 12/1 (Bet Victor, guaranteed, 11/1 Bet 365, Totesport, Betfred, William Hill, guaranteed) - WON
This is an interesting little contest despite the relatively small field. I think Imperial Legend is running into form and perhaps deserves to be favourite, having forced a strong pace at York last time and seeing it out well. However, I'm not so sure how he's going to be ridden here and it puts me right off him. If he races on the pace again, he has a stiff Ayr finish to contend with on rain softened ground, and will most likely be taken on by Taurus Twins. That horse won almost certainly because of a draw bias at Nottingham the other day, and I think he is too high in the weights to be winning again despite the presence of a good 7lb claimer. He could act as a spoiler. If Imperial Legend is held up, he might run into trouble from stall 1 and as a result I'd be keen to take him on. Gowanharry has good form in the book but has been off for 44 days, and is another who tends to race prominently. With this in mind I'm inclined to take a chance on Bunce, on an each-way and win basis. His record this season over the minimum on ground with soft in the description reads 2,2,1 and his course and distance second behind Classy Anne (who won her next two starts) really caught my eye. He pulled well clear of the rest and finished the race strongly. Today's contest is a class 4 race, but if he is going to step up to this level it will be today, given a strong pace to run at and ideal trip / ground. He makes plenty of appeal at 11/1+ and may be backed in on course.
Profit & loss: day: +48.40 / month: +69.95 / year: +366.25
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