Monday, July 14, 2014

Sunday 6th July 2014

One selection for Sunday.


5.00 Ayr Two Turtle Doves 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 18/1 (Bet Victor, guaranteed, 16/1 generally guaranteed)

This apprentice contest is one I usually have a bet in, and regulars will remember we backed Foreign Rhythm to win last year. I'm not sure what attracts me to the race, but sprint handicaps are my favourite type of race to bet in and it is something different amongst the generally poor Sunday fare in England. It interests me Mick Mullineaux sends Two Turtle Doves to contest the race. She hadn't shown much this year, but she is a mare who comes to hand in summer and her run last time out at Leicester marked a return to form in my view. The figures don't show it, but she ran right to the line against some classier sprinters and, although she received plenty of weight, I felt she was better than the bare result. Her rider also dropped her whip around a furlong out. She is turned out relatively quickly, just ten days later, and this marks a change in her recent patterns of running around once a month. I would suggest connections have targeted the race and perhaps trained the mare for it. She has plenty of winning form over a straight five furlongs, including with a stiff finish. She ought to get a good tow into this race from Chloe's Dream who is next door in stall nine, and she is able to race off a mark 3lbs lower today than at Leicester. 16/1+ is too big.


Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -1.70 / year: +296.60

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