Just one for today.
4.50 Haydock Amethyst Dawn 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (Paddy Power, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betfair Sportsbook, guaranteed)
Many of these fillies struggle to put it all together and actually win, and although there are a few dark horses in here I can't see anything that is certain to improve for the race conditions and improve here. There seems to be very little in the way of pace, and a few are wearing hoods and tend to take a keen hold - you don't want that type of horse sitting handy in a slowly run contest. It is interesting to see Amethyst Dawn reunited with David Allan here. The selection has done the rounds of different yards, but is back with her original handler now and showed up quite well in a Hamilton sprint the other day, over six furlongs and isolated on the wrong part of the track. She can be expected to improve for that, her first run since January, and it is unusual to see her racing at all. My guess is they had considered retiring her, but she might still show enthusiasm in her home work and connections may have been tempted by what is a very fair looking handicap mark. Allan has made all on this filly before, and if she can get to the front early on, I think the others might find her too tough to pass. She has won nine times, and this sharp mile (actual distance 7f 215yds) will suit her perfectly. The ground might be a bit quick for her, but she has never been dependent on the ground and I don't think it will stop her giving her running. If she gets a well judged front running ride, she might be too good for these off her current mark.
Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: +16.50 / year: +314.80
No comments:
Post a Comment