Dark Crystal was a comfortable winner yesterday - perhaps better than the winning margin of a neck. We're in good form right now.
Two for today.
Represents a stable who had a couple of speedy two year olds last year, and this one is very precociously bred. He was better than his finishing position at Windsor last time suggests: the colt was very speedy from the gates, and took a fair grip under Oisin Murphy (who was an interesting booking), travelling well in what was a decent looking Windsor maiden. He stayed in the middle of the track and eventually faded, but that was on fairly soft ground over six furlongs. Today's ground will probably end up at least good, with no rain forecast and a hot enough day at Beverley. The selection isn't drawn that well but his speed from the stalls will be a big asset against inexperienced two year olds, and if he comes on for his first run in terms of fitness and mental experience, he shouldn't be far away. Morning odds of 25/1 underestimate his chance significantly enough to warrant a moderate each-way and win bet.
2.15 Bath Fair Comment 3pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 5/1 (Bet Victor, guaranteed, 9/2 generally guaranteed) - E/W 3rd
Fair comment is now 0-27 on her career, but she hasn't had many chances over middle distances on fast ground, and to date she has been quite consistent under such conditions having eventually been stepped up in trip. Her fourth placed finish last time out was perhaps her best yet, giving weight away to the three 3yos who finished ahead of her. The third has franked the form by winning easily since, and I quite fancy Fair Comment to run the favourite Captain Oats very close today. She is 2lb higher in the handicap this afternoon, but I think this race is perfect for her: she travelled well last time over 1m5f, and the step back in trip by 1 1/2 furlongs should be perfect for her. There is a chance she may not be resolute in a finish, but with the dead eight lining up and some poor sorts in the line up, she makes plenty of each-way appeal.
Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: +8.30 / year: +305.60
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