1pt each-way double on today's selections, 9/1 and 5/1 generally guaranteed.
3.50 Lingfield Double Dealites 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 9/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Represents a yard who traditionally do very well with staying fillies, although it has been a while since they've had one. Horses like Lady Dedlock, Sweetheart, Trigger's Friend and this horse's half sister Linden Lime (also an all weather winner) are good examples and the yard excel with this type of horse. It is fairly obvious she has been handicapped for a flat campaign on her last three starts, and she returns to a track where she won an all weather bumper earlier this year. Neil Callan, who has a 17% strike rate at this track, takes this as his first ride after a successful season in Hong Kong, and I think she could be a bit better than these moderate stayers. An opening mark of OR59 has given her this 0-60 option and top weight shouldn't be a problem. The market seems to have forgotten this trainer's prowess with horses of this type and I'm quite surprised 9/1 is available. We will back each-way and win and include in an each-way double.
4.10 Yarmouth Don't Stare 5pts win @ 5/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Don't Stare has to prove he can get the job done in handicaps, but he has been better than the bare result on his last two starts in strong looking races. He sat handy on a strong pace at Kempton last time out in a quality race, and only tied into fourth late on. I think a more patient ride will suit him, and today's race looks tailor made for him. The stable's horses go well at Yarmouth and the selection acted really well here on fast turf on his debut, when he finished really well at a price which suggested he was far from the finished article. 5/1 looks too big and I think he can take the scalp of Enobled, who never looked like winning last time and doesn't look like one of Sir Michael Stoute's stable stars, and Genius Boy who is looking a touch high in the weights now.
Profit & loss: day: -12.00 / month: -13.70 / year: +284.60
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