5.00 Ascot Bispham Green 2pts each-way AND 3pts win @ 12/1 (Totesport, Betfred, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)
The times at Ascot show that the rain has gotten into the ground after a thunderstorm and heavy downpours passed through this afternoon. Bispham Green is one of the only horses in here that should be suited by that bit of cut in the ground, and his previous win at Haydock three starts back came on a similar surface. He won easily that day and was noted changing his legs on occasion in the home straight when third at Pontefract last week. That looked a stronger race than todays, but I think this straight track and softer, more forgiving sand based surface will see the selection improve again. It is interesting he is drawn in stall 12, because the jockeys are starting to tack across to stands side for better ground. Perhaps Silvestre De Sousa (who has just ridden a winner at the track) will tack across or gradually make his way over and that may benefit the horse - he has tended to hang to his left in the past and it might not do his chances any harm today. Anything in double figures is too big and I expect him to be backed on course and perhaps on the exchanges.
Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: +98.45 / year: +394.75
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