Keep an eye out for price alerts which may be released at any time today, given the rain that may or may not arrive at Goodwood!
Two selections for today at Goodwood.
1.55 Goodwood Cafe Society 5pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed)
I'm keen to take on Pether's Moon here because he looks difficult to win with. Encke, Quest For Peace, and Songcraft all seem to have autumn campaigns in mind and that leaves the race with a standout candidate in my view. Cafe Society looks the only genuinely progressive horse in this line up and, with no question marks about his fitness or recent form, he looks good value to continue progressing at 6/1. This kind of trip will suit him perfectly, but he was far from disgraced over ten furlongs in the Wolferton Handicap at Royal Ascot. He did all his best work at the finish and is already proven over twelve having won at the trip at Windsor on his previous start. Gai Waterhouse bought this horse for £330,000 at the sales on the eve of Ascot, and you'd have to think a tilt at the Melbourne Cup might be on the agenda at some point. The horse looks physically very scopey, and although I think he still has some growing to do I think he can pick up this weak looking Group 3 on his way to better things.
3.05 Goodwood
Horsted Keynes 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Bet 365, William Hill, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)
Bronze Angel 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 18/1 (Bet 365, William Hill, guaranteed, 16/1 generally guaranteed)
I don't like most of the low drawn horses here, and although there is plenty of pace on, the race seems to be loaded with seven furlong specialists and I think they might get picked up late on by the genuine milers. Horsted Keynes, oddly enough, has raced exclusively at seven in his career to date but he looks a real miler to me. He took a long time to pick up in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, the reason I avoided him last time out over the same course and distance with slightly less pace on. He again looked a bit sluggish in the International Handicap but was stranded early on with no cover and was given a very tender ride by his jockey in the closing stages when it became clear the race hadn't panned out for him. That should mean he is spot on for today and I still think he could be a Group horse in a handicap. He is drawn wide but his running style should mean he can come fast and late to pick up the front runners.
Bronze Angel won a good York handicap in style on his penultimate run and is another for whom the drop down to seven was against at Ascot last time. He also ran well despite being a bit stranded at the edge of the pack, and he struggled to pick up late on. He has plenty of decent Goodwood form from his juvenile season, and despite being drawn widest of all the race should be run to suit. He is another who will be coming fast and late, and 16/1+ is too big.
Profit & loss: day: -11.00 / month: -11.00 / year: +374.75
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