A really good card of racing kicks off Glorious Goodwood this year and we have interests in three races.
The winner of last year's running of this handicap, Viewpoint, is a ten furlong specialist who was turned out quickly having run at Ascot the previous Friday without pulling up any trees. Viewpoint looks handicapped out of this, but Charles Camoin has a very similar profile in that he is a trip specialist who ran in the handicap at Ascot last Friday. The deluge that fell early that afternoon really affected the ground, and for a horse that wants a road it effectively ended his chances. He wasn't given anything like a hard time in the end. His previous run (also at Ascot) resulted in an impressive win over Raskova, who franked the form when running second in a good York handicap on Saturday. Charles Camoin looks to be fairly handicapped and potentially well drawn here, so he looks underestimated at these huge prices. He makes more sense to me than most of the shorter priced horses in the race and his style of running is perfect for a Goodwood handicap such as this.
3.05 Goodwood Amarillo 3pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Amarillo looks the bet of the day. He won easily in a Group 3 at Hamburg last time out, at Hamburg. That track is very similar to Goodwood, being an undulating, tight right handed course, and Amarillo acted very well around it. He is a three times seven furlong winner and this race looks tailor made for him. He should get a lead from Es Que Love and sit on the rail from stall 1, before pouncing in the straight just like he did at Hamburg over six last time. I am keen to oppose Toormore, who hasn't looked himself the last twice and took plenty of time to pick up at this track last year. He'll need to be at his best to win and I'm just not sure he will be. Garswood won a weak renewal of this last year and probably doesn't deserve to be 9/2. The German raider looks excellent each-way value at a double figure price, particularly with some firms paying 1/4 odds on the dead eight.
5.20 Goodwood
Powerful Wind 2pts win AND 1pt place @ Betfair SP (or take 33/1 generally guaranteed if no betfair account)
Monumental Man 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Powerful Wind is a very fast horse, and with the stalls on the stands side today and the selection drawn 26/26, there has to be a chance he'll simply make all and never see a rival. You couldn't have scripted this any better for him, and although he has never raced at Goodwood, he has won handsomely at Chepstow, another downhill track, to break his maiden. He is a huge price on Betfair, and I'll take the chance that we can get on at a Betfair SP greater than the current 33/1 available. I'm also interested in Monumental Man here. He looks fairly handicapped and still progressive. He was the only one who could chase Powerful Wind when they met at Bath. Where his rival faded (may just have needed it after a few weeks off) Monumental Man battled on gamely, finding plenty to finish a close second. He should get a good tow into this from stall 22, and with plenty of pace drawn high, he may be able to get involved in the finish along with his old rival here.
Profit & loss: day: -21.00 / month: +71.95 / year: +368.25
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