One for this afternoon, and possible evening bets - details on those either way before 5.45pm.
4.50 Sandown My Son Max 5pts win @ 9/1 (William Hill, guaranteed, 17/2 Bet Victor, guaranteed, 8/1 generally guaranteed)
My Son Max has generally been doing ok for Michael Blake, but I made a note when he won at Southwell in a three runner seller on stable debut that he didn't really handle fibresand. Sometimes in small fields horses can get away with it at Southwell, and My Son Max got well behind before his class told and he simply ran on to master two inferior rivals. He has been found out on that surface since, including in a seller on his last start.
He returns to turf racing on a very competitive mark of OR72, though, and doesn't appear to be a forlorn hope here. He has generally been known as an all weather horse, but his turf form is probably just as good on inspection and he hasn't had many chances on a switchback track with a stiff finish. As a habitual closer, I think it ought to suit him, as will the reasonable pace that looks guaranteed here given the presence of a couple of front runners. The ground is perhaps a slight concern, but he has seemed adaptable on that front in the past and he doesn't have an action that suggests soft ground is a necessary. Previous connections seemed to try everything to make a straight track sprinter out of the horse, but his five wins since winning his maiden over 5f at Nottingham were all on turning tracks and I think this might be a smarter way to campaign him. His recent Leicester run over this trip was full of promise and the form has been franked by the winner (to some extent) and the fourth who has won since. Adam Kirby is a positive booking and a simple hold up ride to produce him late could see him shock the favourite. 8/1+ is fair.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +105.45 / year: +401.75
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