We had a fairly obvious case of a jockey not doing his homework last night, with Richard Hughes deciding to make use of My Manekineko's "stamina", putting aside any concerns that the horse doesn't like being in front too long. He was soon eased.
Two for today.
4.10 Haydock
Rasaman 4pts win @ 11/1 (Bet Victor, Betfair Sportsbook, guaranteed, 10/1 generally guaranteed)
Go Go Green 2pts win @ 20/1 (Generally guaranteed)
This is a decent looking sprint that might throw up future winners. In saying that, I don't think Duke Cosimo or Bop It merit their prices. I talked a bit about the former when we supported a couple of horses against him on his previous run. He has that "unexposed sprinter" profile and there is an assumption amongst the betting public that he will improve, hence the short odds. I'm not so sure Haydock will suit him well, and at the prices I'll take him on. Bop It hasn't been in form and owes his price to his course and distance prowess. His well being has to be taken on trust and at these odds I'm not inclined to be a believer.
Rasaman has hinted at a return to form just lately, and he is best these days at six furlongs on good to soft ground. Graham Lee is excellent on this type of horse and I thought he was too big at a double figure price. I also like stablemate Go Go Green. He won over course and distance earlier this year and has had excuses since. He is actually much better off with Arctic Feeling, who was third behind him that day, and I don't see why the latter is so much shorter. 20/1 on Go Go Green looks well worth adding. I'm inclined to play the pair win only, getting 1/5 odds on three places doesn't make much sense in handicaps over time.
7.00 Southwell Mandy The Nag 6pts win @ 11/2 (Boylesports, SeanieMac.com, guaranteed, 5/1 generally guaranteed)
Many The Nag looks well handicapped, well drawn, and is 2/2 over course and distance. She looks a Southwell specialist and I think she is overpriced here against Pearl Nation. The latter is by Speightstown, whose progeny have a good record here, but they tend to run on their nerves and I'm not sure about him over a mile. Dutch Rifle is just as likely to bomb out as win and is too short. Time and time again, horses proven on this surface go and do the business. With that in mind, I would suggest the biggest danger to Mandy The Nag is Sofia's Number One, with Roy Bowring's string in good form again. I just think our selection should get the run of the race and is probably a bit more unexposed. 5/1+ is very fair.
Profit & loss: day: -12.00 / month: -53.25 / year: +332.55
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