Monday, August 18, 2014

Wednesday 13th August 2014

Just one selection for this evening.

9.20 Kempton Galatian 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (Bet 365, Totesport, Betfred, Bet Victor, independents, guaranteed) - WON

Galatian hasn't had many chances on the all weather for a seven year old, but he has been consistent on polytrack surfaces and looks well handicapped based on most of those efforts. He should just be coming back to the boil after an absence - indeed he has only had seven starts since 2012 - but he has looked in good form just lately and both his course and distance starts hinted at better to come. It's been a long time since he showed anything on turf so his recent Salisbury run is best ignored in my view. His run behind Aomen Rock in July was full of positives - he travelled well, and once he found a gap he really finished to effect, but the winner had flown. He steps back to seven furlongs tonight but he has won over this trip and the stronger pace of the race might just help him. There isn't much pace on here and George Baker might make the most of stall one and ride him forward (has been adaptable in regard to riding tactics in the past). Rod Millman's stable do well at this track, including with older horses, and the jockey booking suggests they are going for it (Pat Millman usually rides). 14/1+ is too big in what looks a race bigger on quantity than genuine quality.


Profit & loss: day: +63.00 / month: -0.25 / year: +385.55

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