9.10 Kempton My Manekineko 6pts win @ 15/2 (William Hill, guaranteed, 13/2 generally guaranteed)
My Manekineko is just 1/23 for his career, and 0/12 on the all weather, but there is definitely an angle in here. He was initially campaigned over middle distances before stepping up to staying trips, but he often didn't seem to get home having travelled well. Despite his record on polytrack, he has posted some decent figures at Kempton and is largely consistent here. He got a very average ride from David Probert three runs back here over a mile, when he was allowed to sit prominently on a disputed pace from early in the race, helping to set it up for Aomen Rock who won easily having been held up. He travelled noticeably well that day, and his reinvention as a miler looks the way forward for the time being. I don't see any need to have him on the pace given how sweetly he goes, and the booking of Richard Hughes here would suggest he might be ridden more patiently tonight. Hughes knows the horse quite well and rode him to a head defeat over two miles here. There is some pace potential in tonight's contest, with Harwood's Star, Shahrazad and possible Zed Candy Girl all likely to go forward. That will suit the selection, who will most likely be held up in mid division. Anything around 13/2+ looks fair and I'm inclined to play win only - Richard Hughes is brilliant, but isn't a jockey to relay on to ride out for a place if a race doesn't pan out his way.
Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: -41.25 / year: +344.55
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