Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Friday 12th September 2014

Like Ebor week, the St. Leger Festival has been a relatively quiet one in terms of points outlayed for our service. The experience of a few years running Strikeline has taught me not to go too heavy at times when it doesn't feel like the right thing to do, and as a result I've taken it relatively steady in a last couple of weeks. Two nice winners last week kept us in a kind of "maintenance" mode which has allowed us largely to keep the profits we've accumulated this year instead of eating into them, as we may have done in previous years. I don't feel obliged to put up 2/3 selections these days just because there's a big flat meeting on, and I'm actually quite pleased with how we've retained profits despite not being in what Patrickl Veitch would call a "Thunderstorm" period. He used the word to describe the occasions (usually lasting a week or two) when it seems easy to see opportunities and decent priced winners tend to "flow" every couple of days.

On a side note, Ayr is a fixture I'm looking forward to this year. I think it could be a big meeting for us, as I've kept a very close eye on the Scottish form (sprinters in particular) meaning it could be a busy week for us.

Just one bet for Friday.


3.45 Doncaster Sir Reginald 2pts each-way AND 3pts win @ 8/1 15/2 (Generally guaranteed)


Sir Reginald won this race last year, and it is important to note how well he saw out this intermediate trip having travelled well into the contest. Many of these will struggle with the distance, and I'd take on Danzeno in particular for that reason. He might have a class edge, but the selection is very much proven over course and distance, and he won't mind the ground either. Richard Fahey's horses are on fire at the moment and a couple of big winners here yesterday have done nothing to temper confidence in the selection. A handicap mark of OR92 should be just about ok, and I don't particularly mind the short break since his last won, given he has won after a longer absence in the past. He is reunited with Paul Hanagan, who won on him last year, and I he seems excellent value at the current prices. We'll play each-way and win to a decent stake.


Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: -15.00 / year: +333.05

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