5.00 Brighton Cueca 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Skybet, Boylesports, SeanieMac.com, Coral, guaranteed)
This looks a typically weak 0-60 and it's no surprise to see the Stuart Williams handicap debutant, along with a Mick Appleby switcher and a moderate Mick Channon filly with recent form all strong in the market. Sometimes in this type of event it pays to look beyond the obvious and I think Cueca is overpriced at her current odds. She has been well supported on a couple of occasions but has failed to deliver so far in nine career starts. She bombed out at Kempton latest but it was interesting to note that she has a nice bit of size about her and she travelled very well into the race before she got crowded and backed out of it. Indeed, upon watching the replay of the race it is noticeable she turns her head, shying away from her rivals when she finds herself in amongst horses with some kickback in her face. She has already run better than this basement handicap mark and the application of first time blinkers might help a horse like this who seems to be a bit nervy when racing amongst horses. 3lb claimer Danny Brock, who is in the form of his life, takes the ride and the stable recently had a 50/1 shot run into second at Kempton in first time blinkers. Her stamina for a mile has to be taken on trust but if the headgear brings about any improvement, she might be good enough to defeat moderate rivals. 12/1+ is a fair price.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +21.00 / year: +371.05
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