7.20 Wolverhampton Kraka Gym 5pts win @ 5/1 / 9/2 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
Kraka Gym looks a potential polytrack improver this winter, and his recent second behind Plucky Dip has been franked. He got an absolute nightmare of a run that day, travelling five wide around the home turn, and he did well to finish where he did. The rest were comfortably beaten off, and the selection has done pretty well not to have been nudged up by the handicapper. One possible caveat is that he does seem to hang a bit under pressure, but it might be a case of him being the best handicapped horse in the race here and if he simply reproduces something like his last run, it might be enough to see him win. He looks decent value against the favourite at the prices.
7.50 Wolverhampton Monte Cassino 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 (Generally guaranteed)
This is a bit of a donkey derby, and I'd suggest that some of the horses with sexier, more "unexposed" profiles might not do the business - Swiss Lait and Adimendis in particular don't look the easiest of rides and I'd happily avoid professional losers like Sewn Up. I don't see much value in El Mirage either, and I'd rather take a chance on the old boy Monte Cassino. His stable's first runner today went close in the big Doncaster sprint, and this horse popped up at a price over course and distance in this month last year. He looks well handicapped, and the lack of a recent run or recent form doesn't bother me given his tendency of putting it all together only once in a while. A good claimer takes a valuable 5lb off and with a decent draw in stall 4, he can make the running and perhaps hold on while the horses who don't like to win are trying to have a think about things.
Profit & loss: day: +20.00 / month: +73.20 / year: +267.75
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