1pt e/w double on tonight's selections, 6/1 and 8/1 generally guaranteed.
6.45 Kempton Pantella 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed) - N/R
Pantella is described by her trainer as a lovely filly who has been given plenty of time by her owners. She showed at Haydock last time that it might not be too long before she repays that kindness. Under tender handling from Robert Havlin, she travelled very well buried in the pack and was never really asked to get too involved in the contest, staying on very well late on all the same and eventually finishing fourth. She will have had a really good experience that day and this uncomplicated, genuine looking filly ought to come on for the run. She is closely related to horses who have excelled on the all weather, and her trainer's horses tend to run very well at this track - his 24% strike rate returning a profit of +83.34 to the unit stake over the last five seasons is very impressive. The favourite tonight, Karezak, looks flattered by his current mark and does not look a straightforward horse. I have little doubt having checked the visual evidence that Pantella could have gotten much closer to Karezak at Haydock had she been asked, and with normal improvement to come it's a no brainer to back her each-way against the odds on favourite at 6/1.
7.45 Kempton Presto Boy 5pts win @ 9/1 (Bet Victor, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 8/1 generally guaranteed)
Another from the Fanshawe stable. Presto Boy is a smashing looking horse, but hasn't put in much of a finishing effort in any of his starts to date, He wore a tongue tie on his last two starts, but having travelled very well he didn't see either race out particularly strongly. I find it interesting that he runs without any aids tonight - Fanshawe's website suggests connections are very much aware of some slight breathing difficulties and I'm fairly sure Presto Boy will have had a little operation since he last ran to rectify the situation. If he can see this race out better, I think he can win it. He looks very well handicapped off OR66 even based on his course and distance run in a maiden two starts ago. This looks a win or bust type of bet, and we'll play win only but include him in an each-way double with our first selection.
Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: -115.50 / year: +232.55
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