Thursday 9th October 2014

Just one selection for this evening.

8.20 Wolverhampton Coillte Cailin 3pts each-way @ 33/1 (Totesport, Betfred, Bet Victor, Ladbrokes, Coral, William Hill) - E/W 3rd @ 40/1 sp

This is a fair field for the grade, but on her best form Coillte Cailin would be a match for most if not all of her rivals. She has posted most of her best efforts at this track, and although she has not yet won a race, I think she might be the type who will eventually flourish and pick up a few races on this surface in time. She has not yet been on the Tapeta here, but many horses who handled the polytrack surface seem to handle this, and her trainer Daniel Loughnane has been amongst the most successful here since the track was relaid. Indeed his older horses have a very respectable 18% strike rate at this track in 2014, quite eye catching given his stable doesn't contain any real stars. The selection comes into this off a 77 day break, but she posted her best turf run after an 88 day break at Haydock in May, so she clearly goes well enough fresh that her absence isn't a concern. She looks well handicapped off OR62 based on all her Wolverhampton runs apart from her final one, which prompted the 88 day break after a busy period. She has a little bit of scope to her and might be the type to do well now later in her four year old season. With her trainer in such good form, and little to prove at the track, she makes plenty of appeal on a straight each-way basis at 33/1. I'd expect her to go off not bigger than 20/1.

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Afternoon bets:

One for this afternoon, and possible evening bets to follow before 5.30pm.

4.30 Worcester Gaelic Myth 5pts win @ 9/2 (Generally guaranteed) - N/R

Gaelic Myth makes his debut over hurdles today having won quite impressively on his bumper debut late last season. He looks an uncomplicated type of horse and will probably be ridden from the front today as he was at Ludlow. He is nicely bred and is described as a good jumper by Kim Bailey, his trainer, who rates him as having a decent chance in this race. I don't think Paul Nicholls or Johnjo O'Neills' winter horses are quite ready yet, but Kim Bailey's seem to be quite forward and Gaelic Myth's working partner Gold Man won at Towcester yesterday. As De Mee was very keen at Kempton in February and may not be easy to train despite his pricetag, and Highpower might be better over further in time. Gaelic Myth looks the value here at the prices and we'll play win only.

Profit & loss: day: +21.00 / month: +37.50 / year: +232.05