8.30 Kempton Gigawatt 5pts win @ 9/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Represents Jim Boyle, who trains Perfect Pastime, who won for us yesterday. Gigawatt had a year off before making a pleasing return over seven furlongs here in August, in the race won by Galatian. He finished well under tender handling, having understandably been sent off 50/1. He has come on well since, and has put in two performances at Epsom and Wolverhampton (done in a photo) that suggest he is well handicapped off OR74. He drops back to six furlongs tonight, but it is interesting to note that he showed good tactical speed at Brighton five days ago before being eased right off. That was on heavy ground at a track he has never run at, so I'm prepared to forgive the run. This looks a weak 0-75 and his trainer must think so too, to turn him out relatively quickly. He has has four runs since his comeback in August and has been in training for two months at least, so I don't think bouncing is a problem. Pat Cosgrave takes the ride and if the selection can run to his Wolves or Epsom form, he can account for these. I'd hope he is ridden more prominently than he has been over seven - the stable are shrewd enough and the jockey knows the horse quite well - anything but being held up in the rear should suffice and the 9/1 available is too big.
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Afternoon bets:
One selection for Tuesday afternoon, and a possible evening bet - details either way before 5.30pm as usual.
5.50 Wolverhampton Larghetto 5pts win @ 6/1 (Bet 365, Bet Victor, William Hill, guaranteed, 11/2 generally guaranteed)
Larghetto is a course and distance winner (on polytrack) who transferred to Ian Williams earlier this year and has run a couple of good races since joining her new stable. However, it was noticeable that she didn't see out her race that well last time, having travelled easily into the contest. Williams is noted as a trainer who does well with horses who have had breathing problems, and I would imagine this mare has had some attention in that regard over the course of the summer. A first time tongue tie is applied this evening, and although that might set alarm bells ringing, you have to think she is well handicapped off OR60 if it helps her see out her race more strongly. The booking of Danny Tudhope would suggest connections very much mean business, and the fact that she is drawn three and can race prominently in a race devoid of much pace makes her very appealing at the current prices. We'll play win only; I'd make her a 9/2 shot on my book so the current prices look very fair.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +69.20 / year: +263.75
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