4.10 Fontwell Boss In Boots 5pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed)
An interesting little handicap chase. Vikekhal has been well backed this morning following a decent chase debut. My issue with him is that he displayed an awkward head carriage in the closing stages of his race last time, and I'm not sure he is guaranteed to improve for that run eighteen days later. His stable haven't really hit top form yet and at the prices I'll take him on. Similarly, Alanjou looked a little bit slow on his chase debut, and I think his inability to lie up caused him to get behind horses which ultimately contributed to him being brought down. He will need more tactical speed at a track like Fontwell and I'm also happy to take him on - despite the fact that he jumps well. Seamus Mullins' Boss In Boots looks the value here at 6/1. He was well backed for his chase debut, but burst a blood vessel. He won next time out, and followed up with a well beaten second (behind a classy veteran) at Fontwell next time out. He has had a nice break since and I think he might improve for the step up in trip looking at his hurdles form. He jumps well, and the only caveat is that he can be keen on occasion. The rain has largely missed Fontwell and I think the ground will be perfect for this son of Kings' Theatre. 6/1+ looks very fair and he gets the call over the course specialist but more exposed Venetian Lad.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +64.20 / year: +258.75
No comments:
Post a Comment