5.10 Wolverhampton Speightstown's Kid 5pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, Bet Victor, Stan James, Betpack.com, independents, guaranteed)
Speightstown's Kid is an in and out performer, who can follow up an abysmal run with a win that can make him look like an improving performer. He had no chance of winning the claimer he was entered in last time, but he may have needed the run after a break anyway and it is probably no surprise he didn't show up much. He has been entered in a winnable handicap here, and the booking of a very promising claiming rider who is a steal for his 3lbs really takes the eye. This should be run to suit, with some pace up front likely to come from Little Elie, and if the selection can travel and pounce then double figure prices could look silly after the race. He is as likely to finish last as he is first, he's that type of horse but he does represent value here. Take anything 9/1 or better.
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Afternoon bets:
One for this afternoon, and evening bets to follow, released before 4.30pm.
3.00 Musselburgh Buy Back Bob 3pts each-way @ 5/1 (Skybet, Bet Victor, Ladbrokes, Betfair Sportsbook) - E/W 3rd @ 6/1
Buy Back Bob is quite consistent when he is right, and from seven hurdles runs he has hit the frame five times, with two soft ground flops the aberrations on that profile. He travels well, but has failed to find as much as seemed likely on a couple of occasions in the past. However his recent Southwell run was decent and with his yard in good form, he makes appeal here on good ground over a relatively easy two mile trip. He looks well handicapped off OR117 too, having run to a mark 4lbs above that on his last two starts. He cost only £6,000 bought out of Tony Martin's yard, but the recent run suggests it could be money well spent and the likely decent pace of today's race should suit him. This is the type of horse I like to back each-way: he is well handicapped, has good recent form, and tends more often than not to give his running, although he needs everything to drop right to win. 3pts each-way pays just less than 4pts win and it looks the smart way to stake the selection.
Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: +0.00 / year: +218.75
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