Thursday, November 13, 2014

Sunday 26th October 2014

One selection for Sunday.


3.15 Aintree Dreams Of Milan 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 16/1 (Totesport, Betfred, guaranteed, 14/1 generally guaranteed)


As the Racing Post suggests, there are question marks about most of these with regard to track, trip or ground, and when the likes of the unreliable Peckhamecho is close to the top of the market, you know it's the type of race where bookmakers could get a result. Dreams Of Milan is the outsider of eight here, but he definitely stays the trip, definitely likes decent ground, and should have no problem with a flat, left handed galloping track. Connections have tried to make a chaser out of him, but he isn't a natural over the larger obstacles and doesn't seem a confident jumper. He showed very little at Carlisle last time out, but he was well punted which suggests connections at least felt he was fit. He has been long overdue a return to hurdles, and his current handicap mark of OR117 if very fair based on his best form in this sphere. First time blinkers are applied, which interests me straight away because Donald McCain has a very good record with runners in first time headgear. The selection has a featherweight on his back, and as a result Wilson Renwick takes the ride in place of Jason Maguire. With a new jockey, new headgear, and a switch back to the code under which he has been much more successful, there is every chance of an improved performance here. He makes plenty of appeal at 14/1+, and with the dead eight lining up, it makes sense to play each-way and win.


Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: +49.20 / year: +243.75

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