Thursday, September 27, 2012

Thursday 27th September 2012

One bet for this afternoon, we may have an evening bet but that's very much 50-50 at the moment.

2.20 Pontefract Surge Ahead 5pts win @ 5/1 (Sporting Bet, or 4/1 Betfred, Paddy Power, William Hill, independents, guaranteed) - WON

Ed Walker is becoming a decent trainer and placer of two year olds, although you won't hear it much in the racing press because he remains very much under the radar. Twice in the last two years he has sent second time out two year olds to lesser tracks to win, (Goodwood to Yarmouth second time out for the win, Kempton to Redcar second time out for the win) and Snurge Ahead gets his second start today having ran promisingly at Kempton first time up. Walker's juveniles are tending to improve for the run, and if the selection has made average progress I feel he can win this. He travelled strongly at Kempton, but was very green, he was never hit with the whip and when he tried to hang right William Buick corrected him and by the end of the contest you can see he has learned to use his stride properly and run straight and true. He is by Danehill Dancer out of a German bred mare, and with soft ground influence on both sides of his pedigree and an action that suggests it will be no problem, conditions should suit him. A good draw in stall two and the booking of the excellent Danny Tudhope is a bonus. I can't see Flawless Beauty acting on the ground, and I think Lock Moy may get outpaced around the turns and might not be a stable star.


Profit & loss: day: +20.00 / month: +30.65 / year: -73.61

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