Three interests on the polytrack this evening.
6.10 Wolves I've No Money 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Represents a small stable and seems to have gone unnoticed in the market. Ridden by a jockey who rides the track well and who is actually returning a level stakes profit from his rides. The selection is drawn well and it is his form from Kempton last time out that interests me. He was held up with virtually no chance in the rear over Kempton's fast five furlongs, where it pays to be handy. He made up plenty of ground from the rear but was twice blocked in his run, coming home strongly in the end. A first time hood is applied tonight and the tongue tie is retained, the stable is in form and I think he may be well handicapped. 16/1+ is too big.
7.20 Kempton Gucci D'Oro 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
As an American bred, who has only offered a glimmer of hope in a few runs over shorter trips so far, Gucci D'Oro has a very similar profile to his stablemate Al Khawaneej, who made his all weather debut stepped up in trip at this course and won well. The selection hasn't shown much in turf maidens or handicaps, but he didn't seem to handle the undulations of Brighton on his penultimate run (also hampered) or Chepstow (travelled well, faded and looked awkward, soft ground) last time out. He is very much bred for this surface, and although stamina is a question mark, his trainer has proven adept at knowing the right trip for his horses in the past. He may take after his damsire Alleged, who was full of stamina, and a chance is taken at double figure odds that he finds the necessary improvement. William Buick is a noteworthy booking.
Looks to be developing into an out and out all weather horse, and his runs at this track recently have been impressive. He was raised 5lb for a short head defeat to Noble Jack on his penultimate run, but I am prepared to forgive him his last run at Haydock and hope for a better performance back on this surface tonight. As a horse who is still unexposed, he looks a big price at 20/1, and I would expect support to come because some of these look too short in relation to him.
Profit & loss: day: -5.20 / month: +45.05 / year: -89.01
No comments:
Post a Comment