A more interesting today, although it is disappointing to see so many small fields. We may have evening price alerts for tomorrow.
1:40 Polypipe Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f
No bet in the opener, but Sleeper King is my idea of the winner and can be backed at 9/2.
2:10 Ladbrokes Mallard Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f132
Camborne 4pts win @ 13/2 (Generally, guaranteed) - WON @ 7/1
The progeny of Doyen have a strong record on soft ground and stay really well, and I expect Camborne to prove a tough nut to crack in this stamina test. The selection has been racing in better company than this and as a big, strong gelding, I don't think he will have much trouble carrying this kind of weight. The return to handicap company should therefore be to his advantage, and he has a very impressive seven length handicap win at this track on his CV. He didn't appear to handle Goodwood on his last two runs, and although it is a worry that he slowed right up at the finish last time, John Gosden wouldn't send him here if he hadn't come out of that race 100%. It might be he is a completely different horse on this galloping track and his class might be the winning of this.
2:40 Speedy Services Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f
Biographer 4pts win @ 7/2 / 10/3 (Generally, guaranteed)
I don't think High Jinx or Times Up are superstar stayers, and there is not much between them on last year's running. A chance is taken on Biographer, who handles this ground and has some really strong form as a three year old in the book. Things haven't really dropped right for him this season, but he won his maiden here and looks certain to be suited by the ground. He appeals as the up and comer against two more exposed rivals and, with David Lanigan's stable in very good form, he looks the bet at the prices.
3:15 Barrett Steel May Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 1m
Qawaasem 4pts win @ 9/2 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 4/1 generally guaranteed)
Barry Hills always likes a winner here and his son Charlie has already struck this week with Sir Pedro on day one of the meeting. Qawaasem looks a pleasing price to add to that tally. she is another who didn't appear to be at home on Goodwood's unique undulations last time out, and I would suggest we'll see a much better horse at today's track upped to one mile. She was the only one to give Amazing Maria anything like a race at Goodwood and it is worth remembering that rival had already shown a liking for the track. I'm not overly keen on the Godolphin pair here and I think Qawaasem might be backed, so take the early price.
3:50 One Call Insurance Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f
Barley Mow should win this, obviously no bet at the prices with no apparent edge to be had.
4:25 Towndoor Limited Commercial Property Rental Handicap Cl2 6f110y
Norse Blues 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Norse Blues has a Spring Mile in the formbook and it is interesting that when he won that day, he was in front fully two furlongs from home, suggesting the performance can be marked up given how hard it is statistically to win from the front at this track. It also showed he has gears, and it is interesting he steps back to sprinting for shrewd connections here. Could it be they have a tilt at the Ayr Gold Cup in mind? Nothing stands out for me in this field, but if the pace is good as seems likely (the selection is drawn next to Dr. Red eye, who front runs) I expect Norse Blues to be staying on when others have cried enough. It is a chancey bet, but the selection posted a lifetime best on his penultimate start and can probably be forgiven a poor run at York last time down to ground faster than he seems to enjoy. 16/1 is too big.
5:00 Frank Whittle Partnership Classified Stakes Cl3 1m2f60y
No bet here, but your bookmaker might be annoyed if you back Amralah each-way against the favourite at around 7/2!
Profit & loss: day: +17.00 / month: +29.50 / year: +274.29
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