Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Monday 23rd September 2013

Just one selection for today.

3.50 Kempton Cordial 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Coral, William Hill, guaranteed, 9/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 3rd

It's not usually recommended to back a filly who looked disinterested in racing when last seen on the track, but Cordial is given the benefit of the doubt having been found to have been in season by the racecourse vet after her Salisbury run. Her debut at Newmarket was eye catching, she travelled strongly in a good quality maiden before tiring and coming home in her own time. She has yet to get involved in a finish or find much off the bridle in two runs, but the crucial thing here is forgiving the second run and the fact that her excuse last time has not been noticed in the media or factored in to her price. She should probably be a bit shorter, perhaps around the 6/1 mark. William Buick rides, and stall 1 looks a fair enough draw over this seven furlongs (the bend comes up fairly quickly). There is hope on pedigree that she will improve on this surface, her strong travelling style and athletic action will be a help to her. If she is over what ails her, she might have the edge on the slower developing, more stoutly bred sorts, and a chance is taken at 9/1+ that she can improve her owner's already decent strike rate with two year olds at this time of year.


Profit & loss: day: -1.20 / month: +85.10 / year: +349.89

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