1.40 Newmarket Nakuti 5pts win @ 6/1 (Generally guaranteed) - WON
Not many of these fillies will handle the ground, and I'm inclined to take on the likes of Free Rein and Hot Coffee on that basis (I'm not sure Hot Coffee exactly revelled in the soft conditions at Haydock despite her finishing position). Nakuti is a strong, galloping type of filly who handles the conditions and is probably best at seven furlongs. She has improved this season, but seems to have very particular conditions under which she excels: Goodwood didn't seem to suit her, and I think the needs a no nonsense, galloping track. She is best forgiven her Ascot run in the Sandringham, and this level looks much more suitable, particularly as she can run off her proper handicap mark again (the mark looks fair). Ryan Moore has jocked Martin Harley off, and having the best in the business on board is a boon.
3.15 Newmarket Divine 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 18/1 (Bet Victor, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 16/1 generally guaranteed)
Divine may or may not be well drawn, but unlike many of these she appears to be generally progressive. The form of her win over Red Pike was franked when that rival won next time out, and her close second to Stepping Out has also worked out, with that filly winning again at Pontefract. Divine handles soft ground, and looks the sort of horse that could be travelling all over these in the final couple of furlongs once she gets some pace to run at. Not many of her rivals will handle conditions, and for a filly who has had just five career starts, I'm happy to forgive her last run over an unsuitable trip at Ayr on ground plenty quick enough for her.
Profit & loss: day: +25.00 / month: +6.80 / year: +304.10
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